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According to Transfermarkt’s squad market values ahead of the 2026 World Cup, France have the most valuable national team in the tournament, which is why many analysts consider them the favorite if market value alone were used to predict the winner.
Most Valuable World Cup Squads
Rank
Team
Squad Value
1
France
€1.52bn
2
England
€1.50bn
3
Spain
€1.22bn
4
Portugal
€1.01bn
5
Germany
€947m
6
Brazil
€923m
7
Netherlands
€804m
8
Argentina
€783m
What does that predict?
If market value were a perfect predictor, France would be expected to win, followed by England and Spain. France’s squad includes elite players in their prime and has the highest overall valuation in world football.
However, World Cups are rarely won by the most valuable team. Recent champions such as Argentina in 2022 showed that team chemistry, tactics, experience, and tournament form often matter more than squad value alone. Argentina, Brazil, Spain, France, and England are generally viewed as the leading contenders for the 2026 title.
My projected top contenders are:
- France
- Spain
- Argentina
- Brazil
- England
Based purely on Transfermarkt market values, France would be the predicted winner of the 2026 World Cup.
